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TROPICAL STORM MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU OCT 22 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN OCT 25 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.0N  78.0W      45  X  X  X 45   SKSP 126N 817W     1  5  4  5 15
15.0N  78.5W      26  3  1  X 30   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  7  7
16.0N  79.0W       9 13  2  1 25   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  1  4  5
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X  4  5  5 14   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     X  3  8  5 16   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  5 10 15   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  4  5   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  9 10   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1 10 11   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  9  9   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  7  7   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  4  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  6  6   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  3  9 13   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  1  8  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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