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TROPICAL STORM MITCH PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 22 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MITCH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN OCT 25 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.1N  78.3W      56  X  X  X 56   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2
14.2N  78.7W      34  1  X  1 36   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  6  6
15.3N  79.5W       8 16  5  1 30   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  6  9 15
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  1  9 10
MKJP 179N 768W     X  2  9  4 15   SKSP 126N 817W     2  6  5  4 17
MKJS 185N 779W     X  1 10  7 18   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  3 13 16   MPCO 093N 799W     X  X  1  2  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  4  5   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  9 10   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  9  9   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  7  7   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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