ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST THU SEP 24 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN SEP 27 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 30.6N 52.9W 27 2 1 X 30 31.1N 47.4W X 5 7 3 15 30.6N 50.4W 2 14 2 1 19 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT RAPPAPORT NNNN