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TROPICAL STORM IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 21 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  36.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU SEP 24 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.5N  39.1W      29  X  X  X 29   24.5N  42.6W       X 11  5  2 18
22.9N  40.8W      12  8  1  1 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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