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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT TUE SEP 22 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.8N  89.2W      35  X  X  X 35   MOBILE AL         32  1  X  X 33
33.7N  87.5W      10 13  1  X 24   GULFPORT MS       41  X  X  X 41
35.0N  85.3W       X 13  4  X 17   BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3  X  3   NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  3  X  3   NEW IBERIA LA     39  X  X  X 39
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  2  X  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     1  1  1  X  3
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3  X  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  3  4  X  7
ST MARKS FL        X  3  5  X  8   GULF 29N 87W       9  4  1  X 14
APALACHICOLA FL    1  4  4  X  9   GULF 28N 89W      30  X  X  X 30
PANAMA CITY FL     3  6  3  X 12   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99
PENSACOLA FL      20  2  1  X 23   GULF 28N 93W       1  1  1  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SUN TO  7AM MON
C FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
D FROM  7PM MON TO  7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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