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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT MON SEP 21 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.5N  92.0W      34  X  1  X 35   GULFPORT MS        X  8 10  3 21
28.8N  91.5W      18  6  2  X 26   BURAS LA           3 11  7  1 22
31.0N  90.5W       1 12 10  2 25   NEW ORLEANS LA     3 13  8  1 25
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      8 13  5  1 27
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4   PORT ARTHUR TX     8  7  4  1 20
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5   GALVESTON TX       8  5  3  1 17
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        6  4  2  1 13
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   1  3  2  1  7
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  1  2
VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  8  8
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  5  6 12
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W       4  7  5  2 18
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 91W      20  3  1  1 25
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  8  9   GULF 28N 93W      27  1  X  1 29
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  9 10   GULF 28N 95W      10  3  2  X 15
PENSACOLA FL       X  1  7  7 15   GULF 27N 96W       2  2  2  1  7
MOBILE AL          X  4 10  4 18   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  X  2  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
C FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
D FROM  7AM SUN TO  7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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