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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 17 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN SEP 20 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.5N  93.5W      43  X  X  X 43   BURAS LA           2 12  2  2 18
29.0N  93.5W      20 12  X  X 32   NEW ORLEANS LA     2 14  3  2 21
30.5N  93.0W       2 17  5  1 25   NEW IBERIA LA      6 17  2  1 26
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     3 21  2  1 27
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       7 18  1  1 27
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        5 18  1  1 25
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   3 14  1  1 19
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  8  1  1 11
VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  2  X  1  3
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  5  6
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  3  5  9
ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 89W       1  5  2  3 11
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 91W      35  1  X  X 36
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2  7  9   GULF 28N 93W      43  X  X  X 43
PENSACOLA FL       X  1  6  6 13   GULF 28N 95W      18  8  X  1 27
MOBILE AL          X  3  8  5 16   GULF 27N 96W       8  7  X  X 15
GULFPORT MS        X  8  6  3 17   GULF 25N 96W       1  X  X  1  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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