ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GEORGES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 54 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON SEP 28 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GEORGES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU OCT 1 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.7N 88.4W 48 X X X 48 CEDAR KEY FL X X 3 7 10 32.0N 87.7W 29 1 X 1 31 ST MARKS FL 1 3 5 5 14 32.3N 87.0W 19 3 1 2 25 APALACHICOLA FL 2 5 4 5 16 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL 6 5 4 3 18 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL 33 X 1 X 34 FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 MOBILE AL 99 X X X 99 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 GULFPORT MS 99 X X X 99 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 5 6 BURAS LA 15 2 2 2 21 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 7 9 NEW ORLEANS LA 16 2 1 2 21 SAVANNAH GA X X 2 8 10 NEW IBERIA LA 1 5 3 4 13 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 7 8 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 2 4 6 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 6 6 GALVESTON TX X X 1 3 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 4 4 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W 1 4 4 5 14 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W 9 4 3 2 18 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 2 5 4 4 15 FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X 4 4 3 11 VENICE FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 93W X 1 2 4 7 TAMPA FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT PASCH NNNN