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HURRICANE GEORGES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GEORGES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED SEP 30 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.4N  89.3W      42  X  1  X 43   NEW ORLEANS LA    23  3  1  1 28
30.0N  90.0W      26  1  1  1 29   NEW IBERIA LA     11  7  2  2 22
30.5N  90.0W      20  6  2  1 29   PORT ARTHUR TX     1  4  3  6 14
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  1  1  7  9
VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  6  7
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  3  4   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
ST MARKS FL        1  1  1  4  7   GULF 29N 85W       4  2  2  4 12
APALACHICOLA FL    4  2  2  4 12   GULF 29N 87W      55  X  X  X 55
PANAMA CITY FL     7  2  2  4 15   GULF 28N 89W      45  X  X  1 46
PENSACOLA FL      17  2  1  2 22   GULF 28N 91W      11  2  1  4 18
MOBILE AL         19  3  1  2 25   GULF 28N 93W       2  1  1  7 11
GULFPORT MS       24  2  2  1 29   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  6  6
BURAS LA          37  X  X  X 37   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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