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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI SEP 11 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON SEP 14 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.0N 100.0W      44  1  X  X 45   PORT O CONNOR TX  99  X  X  X 99
30.5N 101.0W      30  2  X  X 32   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  99  X  X  X 99
31.0N 102.0W      15 10  1  X 26   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  1  X  2
GALVESTON TX       X  1  2  X  3   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  2  X  2
FREEPORT TX       13  1  X  X 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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