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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 10 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN SEP 13 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.3N  96.3W      55  X  X  X 55   FREEPORT TX        X  2  4  5 11
24.8N  97.0W      34  1  X  X 35   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  5  5  4 14
25.4N  97.9W      16  5  2  1 24   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  8  5  4 17
MMSO 238N 982W    16  3  1  1 21   BROWNSVILLE TX    15  6  2  1 24
MMTM 222N 979W     6  3  2  2 13   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     1  1  1  5  8   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  2  3  4  9
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       1  5  4  4 14
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 27N 96W       6  8  3  2 19
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  2  4  6   GULF 25N 96W      44  X  X  X 44
GALVESTON TX       X  1  3  5  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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