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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED SEP 09 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING
BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT SEP 12 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  96.6W      49  X  X  X 49   FREEPORT TX        6  5  3  2 16
26.5N  97.6W      29  1  1  X 31   PORT O CONNOR TX  14  5  1  2 22
26.8N  98.7W      16  6  2  1 25   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  19  5  1  1 26
MMSO 238N 982W     2  1  2  6 11   BROWNSVILLE TX    29  1  X  1 31
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  1  3  5
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       3  4  2  3 12
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W      17  3  1  1 22
NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  3  4   GULF 27N 96W      43  X  X  X 43
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  1  3  4  8   GULF 25N 96W      48  X  X  X 48
GALVESTON TX       2  5  3  3 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
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