ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 AM CDT THU SEP 03 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SUN SEP 6 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.5N 82.0W 37 X X X 37 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 7 8 34.0N 80.0W 9 12 1 X 22 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 7 7 35.5N 78.0W X 10 5 2 17 NANTUCKET MA X X X 7 7 MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 2 3 HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7 MIAMI FL X X 1 1 2 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 PORTLAND ME X X X 5 5 FT PIERCE FL X 2 1 2 5 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4 COCOA BEACH FL 1 3 2 1 7 EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3 DAYTONA BEACH FL 8 4 1 X 13 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL 29 X X X 29 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3 SAVANNAH GA 33 X X X 33 HALIFAX NS X X X 2 2 CHARLESTON SC 17 7 1 X 25 FT MYERS FL X X 1 1 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC 4 14 2 X 20 VENICE FL X 1 1 1 3 WILMINGTON NC 1 12 3 2 18 TAMPA FL 1 2 1 1 5 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 8 5 3 16 CEDAR KEY FL 13 1 X 1 15 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 3 8 3 14 ST MARKS FL 81 X X X 81 NORFOLK VA X 2 8 4 14 APALACHICOLA FL 99 X X X 99 OCEAN CITY MD X X 6 6 12 PANAMA CITY FL 99 X X X 99 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 4 7 11 PENSACOLA FL 1 X X 1 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 7 9 GULF 29N 85W 50 X X X 50 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI C FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT D FROM 1AM SAT TO 1AM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN