ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT WED SEP 02 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SAT SEP 5 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.4N 83.2W 31 1 X X 32 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7 32.5N 81.5W 10 9 2 1 22 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 6 6 34.0N 79.5W X 10 5 3 18 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 5 5 MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 1 3 NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5 MIAMI FL X 1 X 2 3 HYANNIS MA X X X 5 5 W PALM BEACH FL X 2 1 2 5 BOSTON MA X X X 4 4 FT PIERCE FL X 4 2 2 8 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2 COCOA BEACH FL 2 6 2 1 11 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 1 1 4 DAYTONA BEACH FL 8 7 1 1 17 FT MYERS FL 1 3 1 1 6 JACKSONVILLE FL 20 3 1 X 24 VENICE FL 3 4 1 1 9 SAVANNAH GA 10 9 2 1 22 TAMPA FL 10 3 1 X 14 CHARLESTON SC 1 13 3 2 19 CEDAR KEY FL 25 X X 1 26 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 9 6 3 18 ST MARKS FL 51 X X X 51 WILMINGTON NC X 5 8 4 17 APALACHICOLA FL 69 X X X 69 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 2 9 5 16 PANAMA CITY FL 99 X X X 99 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 7 7 15 PENSACOLA FL 58 X X X 58 NORFOLK VA X X 6 7 13 MOBILE AL 1 1 1 X 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X 3 8 11 GULF 29N 85W 60 X X X 60 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 8 9 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI C FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI D FROM 7PM FRI TO 7PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT PASCH NNNN