ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED SEP 02 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SAT SEP 5 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.0N 84.0W 37 X X X 37 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2 32.5N 82.0W 9 12 1 1 23 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2 34.0N 81.0W 1 12 3 2 18 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 2 3 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X 1 2 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 1 2 4 W PALM BEACH FL X 1 2 2 5 FT MYERS FL 1 2 2 1 6 FT PIERCE FL X 4 2 2 8 VENICE FL 2 4 2 1 9 COCOA BEACH FL 1 6 2 2 11 TAMPA FL 8 5 1 1 15 DAYTONA BEACH FL 5 9 2 1 17 CEDAR KEY FL 24 X 1 X 25 JACKSONVILLE FL 15 7 1 X 23 ST MARKS FL 44 X X X 44 SAVANNAH GA 5 15 1 1 22 APALACHICOLA FL 58 X X X 58 CHARLESTON SC 1 13 3 2 19 PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X X 64 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 8 5 3 16 PENSACOLA FL 47 X X X 47 WILMINGTON NC X 3 8 3 14 MOBILE AL 6 X 1 2 9 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 6 5 12 GULFPORT MS X 1 X 3 4 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 5 5 10 BURAS LA 2 X 1 1 4 NORFOLK VA X X 4 6 10 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 6 8 GULF 29N 85W 52 X X X 52 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 99 X X X 99 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU C FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI D FROM 7AM FRI TO 7AM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN