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TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED SEP 02 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SAT SEP  5 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.0N  88.5W      36  X  X  X 36   PENSACOLA FL      23  1  1  1 26
31.0N  88.5W      21  2  1  1 25   MOBILE AL         24  2  X  1 27
32.0N  88.5W       9  7  3  1 20   GULFPORT MS       28  1  X  1 30
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA          47  X  X  X 47
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  3  4   NEW ORLEANS LA    26  1  X  X 27
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  2  4  7   NEW IBERIA LA      6  3  2  3 14
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2  5  7   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  1  2  4  7
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  4  5   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  4  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  3  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       6  6  2  1 15
VENICE FL          X  X  1  2  3   GULF 29N 87W      29  1  X  X 30
TAMPA FL           X  1  1  3  5   GULF 28N 89W      71  X  X  X 71
CEDAR KEY FL       X  3  2  3  8   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99
ST MARKS FL        2  7  2  3 14   GULF 28N 93W       X  2  2  4  8
APALACHICOLA FL    6  7  2  1 16   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  3  4
PANAMA CITY FL    11  5  2  1 19   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
C FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
D FROM  1AM FRI TO  1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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