ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT TUE SEP 01 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT FRI SEP 4 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 29.5N 91.5W 36 X X X 36 BURAS LA 17 3 1 2 23 30.5N 91.2W 15 5 2 1 23 NEW ORLEANS LA 17 4 1 1 23 32.0N 90.5W 1 11 4 2 18 NEW IBERIA LA 27 1 X 1 29 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX 14 2 1 1 18 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 4 4 GALVESTON TX 7 3 1 2 13 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX 2 4 1 2 9 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 2 1 4 VENICE FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 1 2 TAMPA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X 1 3 5 9 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 29N 87W 1 6 3 4 14 ST MARKS FL X X 3 5 8 GULF 28N 89W 15 3 1 1 20 APALACHICOLA FL X 1 3 6 10 GULF 28N 91W 59 X X X 59 PANAMA CITY FL X 2 4 5 11 GULF 28N 93W 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL X 6 5 4 15 GULF 28N 95W 1 4 1 2 8 MOBILE AL 1 9 4 3 17 GULF 27N 96W X 1 1 1 3 GULFPORT MS 4 10 3 2 19 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM WED TO 1AM THU C FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU D FROM 1PM THU TO 1PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN