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TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE SEP 01 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT FRI SEP  4 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  92.5W      47  X  X  X 47   NEW IBERIA LA      5  8  4  4 21
27.3N  92.5W      30  1  X  1 32   PORT ARTHUR TX     4  7  4  4 19
28.3N  92.5W      19  3  2  1 25   GALVESTON TX       4  7  4  4 19
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  4  6   FREEPORT TX        3  6  4  5 18
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  1  2  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   1  4  5  5 15
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  2  4  6 12
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  2  4  5 11
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  4  4
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  3  6  9
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  5  6   GULF 28N 89W       1  5  4  4 14
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 91W      13  5  2  2 22
MOBILE AL          X  2  5  6 13   GULF 28N 93W      20  3  2  1 26
GULFPORT MS        X  4  6  5 15   GULF 28N 95W       8  6  3  3 20
BURAS LA           1  7  5  4 17   GULF 27N 96W       2  7  4  3 16
NEW ORLEANS LA     1  8  5  4 18   GULF 25N 96W       1  5  4  3 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
C FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
D FROM  7AM THU TO  7AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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