ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT MON AUG 31 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT THU SEP 3 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.5N 93.6W 40 X X X 40 ST MARKS FL X X X 11 11 26.5N 92.0W 8 23 X X 31 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 11 12 28.5N 90.0W X 5 15 2 22 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 11 13 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 11 15 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X X 7 9 16 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X X 11 7 18 MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 1 2 BURAS LA X 1 16 3 20 MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 15 3 19 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X 4 13 2 19 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X 4 9 1 14 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4 GALVESTON TX X 6 6 1 13 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 FREEPORT TX X 5 5 1 11 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 6 6 PORT O CONNOR TX X 3 2 1 6 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 7 7 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X 1 X 1 2 SAVANNAH GA X X X 7 7 BROWNSVILLE TX X 1 X 1 2 CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 11 12 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X 7 9 16 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X 3 14 3 20 KEY WEST FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X 15 9 1 25 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 93W 1 21 3 X 25 FT MYERS FL X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 95W 1 13 1 1 16 VENICE FL X X X 7 7 GULF 27N 96W 2 8 X 1 11 TAMPA FL X X X 8 8 GULF 25N 96W 10 3 1 X 14 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 9 9 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT GUINEY NNNN