ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT MON AUG 31 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU SEP 3 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 25.0N 93.5W 37 X X X 37 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 11 11 26.5N 92.0W 10 18 1 X 29 PANAMA CITY FL X X 1 11 12 28.5N 90.0W X 4 16 2 22 PENSACOLA FL X X 3 12 15 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X X 7 9 16 MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X X 11 7 18 MMMD 210N 897W X 1 X 2 3 BURAS LA X 1 16 3 20 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 16 3 20 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X 5 14 2 21 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X 6 8 1 15 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 GALVESTON TX X 8 4 1 13 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 5 5 FREEPORT TX 1 5 3 1 10 SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4 PORT O CONNOR TX 1 2 1 1 5 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 11 11 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X 4 11 15 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X 1 15 3 19 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X 14 11 1 26 VENICE FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 93W 3 19 3 X 25 TAMPA FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 95W 3 11 1 1 16 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 7 7 GULF 27N 96W 4 5 1 X 10 ST MARKS FL X X X 9 9 GULF 25N 96W 11 1 X 1 13 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT PASCH NNNN