ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING
BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED AUG 26 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.3N  73.2W      60  X  X  X 60   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
26.6N  74.2W      20 14  X  X 34   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6
28.5N  75.0W       X 14 11  1 26   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  9  9
MYMM 224N 730W    25  X  X  X 25   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 12 12
MYSM 241N 745W    24  3  X  X 27   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 14 14
MYEG 235N 758W     2  7  1  1 11   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 14 14
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1  3  X  4   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 14 14
MYNN 251N 775W     X  3  5  1  9   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 13 13
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  6  3  9   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  9  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  1  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  3  4   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  4  5   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  5  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
NNNN