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HURRICANE BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 22 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE AUG 25 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.0N  74.5W      52  X  X  X 52   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  9 10
26.0N  75.5W      26  8  1  X 35   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  8  8
27.5N  76.0W       3 18  5  2 28   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 10 10
MBJT 215N 712W    20  X  X  X 20   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  9  9
MYMM 224N 730W    42  X  X  X 42   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  8  8
MYSM 241N 745W    47  1  X  X 48   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7
MYEG 235N 758W    16  4  X  1 21   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     1 10  3  1 15   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     2 14  2  2 20   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  5  9  3 17   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  3  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  3  4   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  3  6  9   VENICE FL          X  X  X  4  4
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  5  6 11   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  4  8 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  3  8 11   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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