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HURRICANE BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 22 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE AUG 25 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.1N  73.1W      53  X  X  X 53   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8
25.0N  74.2W      25 10  1  X 36   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  6  6
26.0N  75.0W       2 21  3  2 28   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1  X  1  2   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  3  4   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5
MBJT 215N 712W    45  X  X  X 45   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5
MYMM 224N 730W    36  X  X  X 36   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
MYSM 241N 745W    23  9  X  1 33   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
MYEG 235N 758W     3 13  3  1 20   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  3  7  4 14   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  3  9  5 17   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  5  9 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  6  7   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  8  9   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  9  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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