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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 21 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON AUG 24 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.3N  72.3W      52  X  X  X 52   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 10 10
24.3N  73.9W      18 17  X  1 36   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  9  9
25.5N  75.0W       1 20  6  1 28   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  7  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X  2  1  2  5   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2  2  4   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W     4  X  1  X  5   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  6  6
MBJT 215N 712W    50  X  X  X 50   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  5  5
MYMM 224N 730W    37  1  X  X 38   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  4  4
MYSM 241N 745W     9 23  X  1 33   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W     1 17  3  2 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  2  9  4 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2 11  5 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  5 10 15   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4   VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  7  8   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  9 10   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
MAYFIELD
 
 
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