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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 21 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON AUG 24 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.0N  71.3W      52  X  X  X 52   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
23.0N  73.5W       7 28  1  X 36   MIAMI FL           X  X  1 11 12
24.0N  75.0W       X 19  7  1 27   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 11 12
MDSD 185N 697W     2  X  X  X  2   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 12 12
MTPP 186N 724W     1  2  1  X  4   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 10 10
MTCA 183N 738W     X  1  1  1  3   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  8  8
MUGM 200N 751W     X  6  4  1 11   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  6  5 11   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MDPP 198N 707W    24  1  X  X 25   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  6  6
MBJT 215N 712W    51  X  X  X 51   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  7  7
MYMM 224N 730W    20 19  X  X 39   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYSM 241N 745W     X 24  4  1 29   VENICE FL          X  X  X  6  6
MYEG 235N 758W     X 12 10  2 24   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  6  6
MYAK 241N 776W     X  1 12  6 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X 12  8 20   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3 13 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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