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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 01 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE AUG  4 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.0N  60.5W      49  X  X  X 49   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  7  8
22.5N  63.5W       4 27  X  X 31   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  7  7
24.0N  66.0W       X 13  9  1 23   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  7  7
TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  1  X  2   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  4  4
TNCM 181N 631W     X  4  2  X  6   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     X  1  2  1  4   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2
TIST 183N 650W     X  2  3  1  6   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  3  1  4   ST CROIX VI        X  1  2  1  4
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  2  3   ST THOMAS VI       X  2  3  1  6
TJSJ 184N 661W     X  1  4  1  6   SAN JUAN PR        X  1  4  1  6
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  4  5   PONCE PR           X  X  3  1  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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