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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 01 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST TUE AUG  4 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.0N  59.5W      54  X  X  1 55   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  7  3 10
20.0N  61.5W       5 27  1  X 33   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  6  6
21.5N  63.5W       X 12 11  1 24   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X 10 10
TFFR 163N 615W     1  5  1  X  7   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  7  7
TAPA 171N 618W     1 12  1  X 14   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4
TKPK 173N 627W     X 10  2  1 13   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W     X 14  3  1 18   ST CROIX VI        X  2  6  2 10
TISX 177N 648W     X  2  6  2 10   ST THOMAS VI       X  3  8  1 12
TIST 183N 650W     X  3  8  1 12   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  7  3 10
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  4  3  7   PONCE PR           X  X  4  3  7
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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