ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST FRI JUL 31 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST MON AUG 3 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 16.5N 53.5W 53 X X X 53 TISX 177N 648W X X X 4 4 17.5N 55.5W 4 27 X 1 32 TIST 183N 650W X X X 5 5 19.0N 57.5W X 10 13 1 24 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2 TFFF 146N 610W X X 1 1 2 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 3 3 TDPR 153N 614W X X 1 3 4 ST CROIX VI X X X 4 4 TFFR 163N 615W X X 3 4 7 ST THOMAS VI X X X 5 5 TAPA 171N 618W X X 3 6 9 SAN JUAN PR X X X 3 3 TKPK 173N 627W X X 1 7 8 PONCE PR X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 8 9 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN