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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI JUL 31 1998
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON AUG  3 1998
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.5N  52.6W      43  X  X  X 43   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  6  7
19.0N  54.8W      11 18  1  X 30   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  3  3
20.5N  57.0W       X 13  9  1 23   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  4  4
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  1  1  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1  2  3   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  3  3
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  1  5  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  4  4
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  2  5  7   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1  5  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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