ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST THU JUL 30 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN AUG 2 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.3N 51.7W 54 X X X 54 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 6 6 18.4N 53.9W 3 29 X X 32 TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 19.7N 56.3W X 10 13 1 24 TIST 183N 650W X X X 2 2 TFFR 163N 615W X X 1 3 4 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2 TAPA 171N 618W X X 1 4 5 ST THOMAS VI X X X 2 2 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 4 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT RAPPAPORT NNNN