ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST WED JUL 29 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SAT AUG 1 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 15.0N 47.7W 44 X X X 44 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 7 7 15.5N 50.6W X 28 X 1 29 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 8 8 16.5N 53.1W X 3 17 2 22 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 8 8 TTPT 112N 608W X X X 3 3 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 6 6 TGPY 120N 618W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 5 5 TBPB 131N 595W X X X 8 8 TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 TVSV 131N 612W X X X 4 4 TIST 183N 650W X X X 2 2 TLPL 138N 610W X X X 6 6 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 7 7 ST THOMAS VI X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT RAPPAPORT NNNN