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TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
2100Z MON OCT 19 1998

...CORRECTION FOR 19/1800Z POSITION...
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO
EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO
LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
THESE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKLEY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 108.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 107.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.7N 108.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.9N 109.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 110.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 108.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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