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HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
1500Z MON OCT 19 1998

...CORRECTION TO MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO.
HURRICANE WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO
MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS
MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA
PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 106.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 106.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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