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HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
1500Z SUN OCT 18 1998

...CORRECTION FOR PRESENT MOVEMEMT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO...
INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 125SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 106.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.3N 106.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.3N 106.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 106.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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