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HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
0300Z SUN OCT 18 1998
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN MEXICO...
INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT.......  0NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.8N 106.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.8N 106.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 107.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.2N 106.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 26.7N 105.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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