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TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
1500Z SAT OCT 17 1998
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z..THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE MAINLAND OF MEXICO FROM MELAQUE TO MAZATLAN...
INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM NORTH OF MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
ALSO AT 8 AM PDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 107.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 125SE  80SW  80NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 107.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 106.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 106.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.2N 106.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 107.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 23.1N 106.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.0N 106.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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