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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
1200Z FRI OCT 16 1998
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.5W AT 16/1200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 108.5W AT 16/1200Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 108.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
AVILA
 
 
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