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HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1498
2100Z MON OCT 19 1998
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF
ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  30SW  20NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 125SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 102.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.9N 104.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.4N 106.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 102.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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