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HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1498
2100Z SUN OCT 18 1998
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
HURRICANE WARNINGS FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO...AND THE HURRICANE
WATCH FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO.
 
SMALL CRAFT FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  99.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  12 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  99.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  98.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.3N 100.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.4N 101.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.6N 102.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  98.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 15.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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