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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1398
1500Z FRI OCT 16 1998
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 120.7W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 120.7W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 120.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.8N 119.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.9N 118.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 120.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 12.2N 118.3W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 13.0N 117.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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