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HURRICANE KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1398
2100Z TUE OCT 13 1998
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.9W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.9W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 119.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 119.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.4N 120.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 118.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 120.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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