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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1398
1500Z TUE OCT 13 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.7W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.7W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.2N 119.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.4N 119.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 118.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.8N 120.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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