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TROPICAL STORM HOWARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP9098
0300Z FRI AUG 21 1998

...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL INTENSITY...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 100.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.7N 102.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.2N 105.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.8N 107.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 100.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 12.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
GUINEY
 
 
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