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HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0698
1500Z SAT AUG 01 1998
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 114.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 300NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 114.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.0N 116.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 114.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
 
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