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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0498
1500Z SAT JUL 18 1998
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.9W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.9W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 111.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.8N 113.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 111.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.8N 121.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
RAPPAPORT
 
 
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