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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0498
0900Z SAT JUL 18 1998
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 110.3W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 110.3W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 110.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
AVILA
 
 
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