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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0498
0300Z SAT JUL 18 1998
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LA
PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 108.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 108.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
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