ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0300Z THU NOV 05 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS
ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST
COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA
FROM THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD INCLUDING THE ISLE OF
YOUTH...AND FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  84.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT 22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 125SW  90NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  84.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  84.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...175NE 175SE  90SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 175NW
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.0N  70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...225NE 225SE 175SW 175NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  84.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 38.0N  62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
MAYFIELD
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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