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TROPICAL STORM MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
2100Z WED NOV 04 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FROM TARPON SPRINGS ON THE WEST
COAST AND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH ON THE EAST COAST.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF MATANZAS WESTWARD.  THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  85.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT 20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT.......200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  85.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  86.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.5N  82.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...175NE 175SE  50SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  85.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 34.0N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 39.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE 100SW   0SW   0NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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