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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MITCH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1398
0900Z WED NOV 04 1998
 
AT 3 AM CST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS DISCONTINUING
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO...FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CARMEN.  SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR TO PROGRESS OF MITCH.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  89.4W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  89.4W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  90.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N  88.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.6N  84.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.6N  81.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 25NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  89.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N  77.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 33.5N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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